By Jason Lange
WASHINGTON, Nov 3 (Reuters) – The rising cost of living will be top of mind for Americans as they head to the polls in Tuesday’s midterm elections which will determine control of Congress for the last two years of President Donald Trump’s term.
What follows are results from a Reuters/Ipsos poll of 1,765 US adults conducted nationwide Thursday through Monday — making the survey distinct from an exit poll which includes voters surveyed as they leave polling stations. The poll had a margin of error of 3 percentage points for registered voters.
THE COST OF LIVING
Some 48% of registered voters in the poll say the cost of living is the top issue for deciding how they will vote, compared with 26% who say democratic norms and 13% who point to immigration. US fuel prices have surged since the start of the US-Israeli war with Iran in February.
DONALD TRUMP
Trump has urged supporters to pretend he is on the ballot in an effort to energize his Republican Party. The Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that 48% of people who planned to vote — or already had done so — said they thought of their ballots as a vote against Trump, compared to 25% who said they were voting for him. Some 25% said Trump was not a factor in their vote.
IRAN
Trump has argued that war was necessary to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. Some 25% of voters think military action has been worth the cost, and 55% say it has not been worth it. Some 18% weren’t sure.
ELECTION INTEGRITY
Voters overall trust the US electoral process, with 77% saying they are confident their ballots will be counted but 45% saying they think voter fraud is a widespread problem. Trump has falsely claimed that massive numbers of non-citizens vote illegally and election officials worry the administration could disrupt the election or certification of results it views unfavorably. The White House says its goal is to safeguard election integrity and voting security.
HOUSEHOLD FINANCES
Some 49% of Americans think their household finances have gotten worse since January 2025, when Trump returned to power, compared with 13% who said their finances have gotten better and 37% who say things are about the same. Trump campaigned ahead of the November 2024 presidential election with a promise to turbocharge the economy, but his presidential approval has fallen in recent months to the lowest levels of his political career, including among Hispanic Americans who swung in his direction in 2024. The latest poll showed 54% of Hispanics said their household finances have suffered, while 10% said they had improved.
TRANSGENDER SPORTS
Some 38% of voters ahead of the election said keeping transgender girls and women out of women’s sports was a very important issue or the most important issue, compared to 25% who said that about protecting the rights of transgender people.
DATA CENTERS
Some 42% of registered voters in the poll said limiting the construction of data centers used to power AI was very important or the most important issue.
MEGA DONORS
The ultra-rich face few limits on how much they can spend to influence federal elections. A bipartisan majority of registered voters — including 93% of Democrats and 71% of Republicans — think it is inappropriate for billionaires to contribute tens of millions of dollars to influence elections.
POLITICAL OPTIONS
While poll respondents appeared to narrowly favor Democrats over Republicans for this year’s congressional elections, they remain divided on which party has good ideas. Some 43% of registered voters in the poll said Democrats had at least some good ideas, while 39% said the same of Republicans.
(Reporting by Jason Lange in Washington; editing by Scott Malone and Rod Nickel)
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